Najnowszy sondaż IBRiS / Onet · N=1100 · 25-27.08 Przewidywane mandaty w Sejmie (460), metoda D'Hondta, próg wyborczy 5% w skali kraju — uproszczenie, bez podziału na okręgi.
KO 153 mandatów (139–167) -3 PiS 109 mandatów (97–122) -37 Konfederacja 73 mandatów (62–84) +57 Lewica 46 mandatów (37–55) +25 KKP 46 mandatów (37–55) +43 R+ 33 mandatów (0–41) -8 PSL 0 mandatów (0–28) -32 Razem 0 mandatów -4 PL2050 0 mandatów -15
Liczba w nawiasie to widełki wynikające z błędu statystycznego sondażu (95% ufności, przy próbie 1100 osób) — liczone osobno dla każdej partii. Wartość ze znakiem +/− to zmiana wobec dzisiejszego Sejmu, w którym dopasowane kluby mają razem 434 z 460 mandatów.
Wszystkie partie razem Najedź myszką na wykres, aby zobaczyć wyniki dla danego sondażu 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
sty lut mar kwi maj cze lip sie
Trendy w czasie — osobno dla każdej partii Każdy wykres pokazuje przebieg poparcia partii w kolejnych sondażach Razem 2.7%
31.12-01.01: 4.6% 02-03.01: 3.6% 02-04.01: 4.4% 12-14.01: 2.7% 16-18.01: 2.7% 12-19.01: 3.3% 20-21.01: 2.8% 26-28.01: 4.9% 30-31.01: 3.6% 31.01-01.02: 3.7% 02-04.02: 3.7% 09-14.02: 3.1% 13-15.02: 3.1% 19-20.02: 5% 20-21.02: 2.5% 23-26.02: 3.7% 25-26.02: 5% 27-28.02: 3.4% 27.02-01.03: 4.2% 02-04.03: 4.1% 09-09.03: 2.1% 09-11.03: 3.8% 11-12.03: 4.6% 13-15.03: 3.2% 13-15.03: 2.2% 11-16.03: 2.4% 20-23.03: 2.9% 27-28.03: 2.9% 27-29.03: 3.5% 02-03.04: 4.7% 25.03-04.04: 3.3% 07-09.04: 4.6% 10-12.04: 4.2% 08-13.04: 3.1% 13-15.04: 4.9% 17-19.04: 3.2% 21-22.04: 5.8% 24-25.04: 4% 24-26.04: 3.8% 16-27.04: 4% 16-27.04: 3.4% 27-30.04: 3.5% 04-06.05: 3% 04-06.05: 1.9% 08-10.05: 3.1% 28.04-11.05: 2.5% Pub.: 12.05.2026: 5.5% 12-23.05: 3.5% 22-23.05: 2.8% 22-24.05: 3.3% 28-29.05: 4.8% 29.05-02.06: 2.9% 08-10.06: 3.2% 08-10.06: 4% 12-14.06: 3.1% Pub.: 16.06: 5.9% 12-15.06: 3.2% 19-21.06: 4.6% 24-27.06: 3.1% 26-28.06: 2.8% 30.06-01.07: 4.3% 30.06-01.07: 4.5% 02-03.07: 2.3% 06-08.07: 4.1% 06-08.07: 3% 10-12.07: 4% 16-17.07: 6.1% 16-17.07: 6.5% 16-17.07: 2.5% Pub.: 21.07: 4.4% Pub.: 21.07: 4.5% 25.07: 2% 25.07: 1.9% 24-25.07: 5% 24-25.07: 4.7% 24-25.07: 1.6% 28.07-02.08: 2% 29.07-02.08: 2.3% 03-05.08: 4.8% 07-09.08: 3.5% 05-12.08: 3.6% 17-20.08: 4.4% 21-22.08: 4.6% 21-23.08: 4% 25-27.08: 2.7% min 1.6% maks 6.5%
Lewica 8.3%
31.12-01.01: 7.4% 02-03.01: 7.5% 02-04.01: 8.2% 12-14.01: 7.1% 16-18.01: 5.9% 12-19.01: 4.5% 20-21.01: 6.8% 26-28.01: 5.8% 30-31.01: 8.1% 31.01-01.02: 6.6% 02-04.02: 6.3% 09-14.02: 5.9% 13-15.02: 8% 19-20.02: 6% 20-21.02: 7.5% 23-26.02: 4.6% 25-26.02: 7.7% 27-28.02: 6.8% 27.02-01.03: 7.7% 02-04.03: 6.1% 09-09.03: 6.9% 09-11.03: 3.5% 11-12.03: 5.1% 13-15.03: 6.1% 13-15.03: 6.7% 11-16.03: 5.3% 20-23.03: 6.7% 27-28.03: 7.9% 27-29.03: 7.8% 02-03.04: 6% 25.03-04.04: 4.9% 07-09.04: 6.9% 10-12.04: 8% 08-13.04: 7.1% 13-15.04: 5.8% 17-19.04: 7.8% 21-22.04: 6.7% 24-25.04: 8.7% 24-26.04: 8.5% 16-27.04: 5% 16-27.04: 4.6% 27-30.04: 7% 04-06.05: 4.7% 04-06.05: 7% 08-10.05: 6.8% 28.04-11.05: 6% Pub.: 12.05.2026: 7.2% 12-23.05: 5.2% 22-23.05: 8.4% 22-24.05: 8.1% 28-29.05: 7.8% 29.05-02.06: 8.1% 08-10.06: 7.5% 08-10.06: 3.9% 12-14.06: 7.1% Pub.: 16.06: 8% 12-15.06: 8.9% 19-21.06: 7.8% 24-27.06: 8.2% 26-28.06: 7.8% 30.06-01.07: 7.3% 30.06-01.07: 7.8% 02-03.07: 8.4% 06-08.07: 5.3% 06-08.07: 9.2% 10-12.07: 7.5% 16-17.07: 7.6% 16-17.07: 8% 16-17.07: 8.3% Pub.: 21.07: 6.8% Pub.: 21.07: 7.1% 25.07: 7.2% 25.07: 7.8% 24-25.07: 8.1% 24-25.07: 7.7% 24-25.07: 7% 28.07-02.08: 5% 29.07-02.08: 7.6% 03-05.08: 7% 07-09.08: 7.2% 05-12.08: 6% 17-20.08: 3.8% 21-22.08: 6.6% 21-23.08: 7.1% 25-27.08: 8.3% min 3.5% maks 9.2%
KO 27.5%
31.12-01.01: 34.2% 02-03.01: 31.6% 02-04.01: 30.9% 12-14.01: 30.9% 16-18.01: 31.8% 12-19.01: 39% 20-21.01: 31.2% 26-28.01: 29.3% 30-31.01: 31.4% 31.01-01.02: 32.3% 02-04.02: 32% 09-14.02: 34.5% 13-15.02: 32.5% 19-20.02: 29% 20-21.02: 30.7% 23-26.02: 29.6% 25-26.02: 34.3% 27-28.02: 30.1% 27.02-01.03: 30.6% 02-04.03: 34.2% 09-09.03: 31.8% 09-11.03: 29.2% 11-12.03: 34.5% 13-15.03: 31.1% 13-15.03: 32.6% 11-16.03: 37.9% 20-23.03: 30.6% 27-28.03: 32.4% 27-29.03: 31.1% 02-03.04: 35.8% 25.03-04.04: 38% 07-09.04: 35.2% 10-12.04: 30.5% 08-13.04: 32.1% 13-15.04: 32% 17-19.04: 32.1% 21-22.04: 33% 24-25.04: 32% 24-26.04: 31.8% 16-27.04: 34.5% 16-27.04: 37.6% 27-30.04: 31.6% 04-06.05: 30.8% 04-06.05: 33.8% 08-10.05: 32.5% 28.04-11.05: 36.9% Pub.: 12.05.2026: 35.8% 12-23.05: 38.9% 22-23.05: 30.9% 22-24.05: 29.2% 28-29.05: 33% 29.05-02.06: 29.3% 08-10.06: 34.1% 08-10.06: 28.5% 12-14.06: 29.7% Pub.: 16.06: 33% 12-15.06: 31.5% 19-21.06: 34% 24-27.06: 28% 26-28.06: 29.2% 30.06-01.07: 32.6% 30.06-01.07: 32.5% 02-03.07: 29.1% 06-08.07: 25.1% 06-08.07: 31.3% 10-12.07: 28.6% 16-17.07: 32.5% 16-17.07: 31.6% 16-17.07: 29% Pub.: 21.07: 31.6% Pub.: 21.07: 30.9% 25.07: 29.4% 25.07: 28.5% 24-25.07: 32.8% 24-25.07: 31.8% 24-25.07: 30.1% 28.07-02.08: 26% 29.07-02.08: 27.5% 03-05.08: 30.3% 07-09.08: 28.7% 05-12.08: 33.5% 17-20.08: 25.8% 21-22.08: 28.1% 21-23.08: 27.3% 25-27.08: 27.5% min 25.1% maks 39%
PL2050 0.4%
31.12-01.01: 3.2% 02-03.01: 1.1% 02-04.01: 2% 12-14.01: 4% 16-18.01: 2.3% 12-19.01: 1.2% 20-21.01: 1.4% 26-28.01: 1.3% 30-31.01: 1.7% 31.01-01.02: 2.1% 02-04.02: 4.1% 09-14.02: 2.8% 13-15.02: 2% 19-20.02: 2% 20-21.02: 1% 23-26.02: 2% 25-26.02: 2.6% 27-28.02: 1.5% 27.02-01.03: 1.1% 02-04.03: 1.6% 09-09.03: 0.9% 09-11.03: 0.7% 11-12.03: 1.8% 13-15.03: 1.4% 13-15.03: 0.7% 11-16.03: 1.4% 20-23.03: 1.7% 27-28.03: 1.8% 27-29.03: 1.9% 02-03.04: 1.8% 25.03-04.04: 1% 07-09.04: 3.1% 10-12.04: 1.6% 08-13.04: 1.2% 13-15.04: 0.7% 17-19.04: 0.5% 21-22.04: 2.7% 24-25.04: 0.5% 24-26.04: 1.1% 16-27.04: 2.4% 16-27.04: 1.7% 27-30.04: 2.2% 04-06.05: 1% 04-06.05: 3% 08-10.05: 1.4% 28.04-11.05: 1.1% Pub.: 12.05.2026: 2.3% 12-23.05: 1.9% 22-23.05: 2.1% 22-24.05: 1.5% 28-29.05: 2.7% 29.05-02.06: 1.5% 08-10.06: 1.8% 08-10.06: 1.3% 12-14.06: 1.4% Pub.: 16.06: 2.6% 12-15.06: 1.3% 19-21.06: 1.6% 24-27.06: 0.8% 26-28.06: 1.1% 30.06-01.07: 2.2% 30.06-01.07: 1.9% 02-03.07: 1% 06-08.07: 1.1% 06-08.07: 1.7% 10-12.07: 0.6% 16-17.07: 4% 16-17.07: 4.4% 16-17.07: 0.6% Pub.: 21.07: 1.4% Pub.: 21.07: 0.6% 25.07: 0.6% 25.07: 0.6% 24-25.07: 2.1% 24-25.07: 2.1% 24-25.07: 0.5% 28.07-02.08: 1% 29.07-02.08: 1.4% 03-05.08: 1.3% 07-09.08: 0.6% 05-12.08: 0.9% 17-20.08: 3.4% 21-22.08: 0.8% 21-23.08: 0.8% 25-27.08: 0.4% min 0.4% maks 4.4%
PSL 4.2%
31.12-01.01: 1.1% 02-03.01: 3.7% 02-04.01: 3.2% 12-14.01: 3.3% 16-18.01: 4.8% 12-19.01: 1.5% 20-21.01: 4.9% 26-28.01: 1.4% 30-31.01: 5.4% 31.01-01.02: 4.9% 02-04.02: 1.7% 09-14.02: 2.5% 13-15.02: 4.8% 19-20.02: 2% 20-21.02: 5% 23-26.02: 1.7% 25-26.02: 3.2% 27-28.02: 4.2% 27.02-01.03: 3.8% 02-04.03: 3% 09-09.03: 4.6% 09-11.03: 3.2% 11-12.03: 2.4% 13-15.03: 4.8% 13-15.03: 4.2% 11-16.03: 2.3% 20-23.03: 1.6% 27-28.03: 4.5% 27-29.03: 5.1% 02-03.04: 3.9% 25.03-04.04: 1.6% 07-09.04: 1.9% 10-12.04: 3.7% 08-13.04: 4.2% 13-15.04: 3% 17-19.04: 3.1% 21-22.04: 3.7% 24-25.04: 4.4% 24-26.04: 4.6% 16-27.04: 2.9% 16-27.04: 1.7% 27-30.04: 2.8% 04-06.05: 2.2% 04-06.05: 1.9% 08-10.05: 4.1% 28.04-11.05: 2.1% Pub.: 12.05.2026: 4.3% 12-23.05: 2.4% 22-23.05: 3.9% 22-24.05: 4.1% 28-29.05: 4.3% 29.05-02.06: 4.2% 08-10.06: 2.7% 08-10.06: 1.5% 12-14.06: 5% Pub.: 16.06: 3.6% 12-15.06: 1.4% 19-21.06: 3.5% 24-27.06: 4.1% 26-28.06: 4.1% 30.06-01.07: 3.8% 30.06-01.07: 3.8% 02-03.07: 3.9% 06-08.07: 3.6% 06-08.07: 1.6% 10-12.07: 5.2% 16-17.07: 2.2% 16-17.07: 1.8% 16-17.07: 3.8% Pub.: 21.07: 2.7% Pub.: 21.07: 3.3% 25.07: 3.1% 25.07: 3.3% 24-25.07: 3.9% 24-25.07: 3.7% 24-25.07: 2.8% 28.07-02.08: 2% 29.07-02.08: 4% 03-05.08: 1.1% 07-09.08: 4.8% 05-12.08: 1.7% 17-20.08: 2.4% 21-22.08: 3.5% 21-23.08: 3% 25-27.08: 4.2% min 1.1% maks 5.4%
R+ 6%
17-19.04: 5.1% 16-27.04: 5.8% 30.06-01.07: 2.1% 16-17.07: 2.3% 16-17.07: 6.9% Pub.: 21.07: 6.2% 25.07: 7.5% 24-25.07: 4.9% 24-25.07: 7.4% 28.07-02.08: 4% 29.07-02.08: 7.8% 03-05.08: 5.3% 07-09.08: 6.8% 05-12.08: 5.5% 17-20.08: 3.6% 21-22.08: 6.4% 21-23.08: 6.5% 25-27.08: 6% min 2.1% maks 7.8%
PiS 19.7%
31.12-01.01: 29.9% 02-03.01: 26.7% 02-04.01: 25.9% 12-14.01: 25.8% 16-18.01: 26.2% 12-19.01: 28.5% 20-21.01: 27.3% 26-28.01: 20.4% 30-31.01: 23.3% 31.01-01.02: 23.5% 02-04.02: 24.5% 09-14.02: 27.8% 13-15.02: 22.7% 19-20.02: 26% 20-21.02: 21.5% 23-26.02: 18.3% 25-26.02: 28.4% 27-28.02: 22.1% 27.02-01.03: 23.5% 02-04.03: 22% 09-09.03: 24.2% 09-11.03: 21.1% 11-12.03: 23.9% 13-15.03: 24.7% 13-15.03: 25% 11-16.03: 28.8% 20-23.03: 26.4% 27-28.03: 24.5% 27-29.03: 23.3% 02-03.04: 27.3% 25.03-04.04: 29.8% 07-09.04: 22% 10-12.04: 23.7% 08-13.04: 23.8% 13-15.04: 18.2% 17-19.04: 20.3% 21-22.04: 29% 24-25.04: 23.2% 24-26.04: 24.5% 16-27.04: 24.7% 16-27.04: 29.4% 27-30.04: 21.6% 04-06.05: 19.6% 04-06.05: 24.8% 08-10.05: 24% 28.04-11.05: 26.6% Pub.: 12.05.2026: 26.9% 12-23.05: 27% 22-23.05: 25.4% 22-24.05: 22.9% 28-29.05: 26.7% 29.05-02.06: 23.7% 08-10.06: 24.2% 08-10.06: 22.1% 12-14.06: 24.1% Pub.: 16.06: 27.1% 12-15.06: 25.3% 19-21.06: 26.2% 24-27.06: 24.1% 26-28.06: 24.2% 30.06-01.07: 27.5% 30.06-01.07: 25% 02-03.07: 23.2% 06-08.07: 19.1% 06-08.07: 22.8% 10-12.07: 23% 16-17.07: 25.4% 16-17.07: 23.8% 16-17.07: 18.9% Pub.: 21.07: 23% Pub.: 21.07: 17.7% 25.07: 21.5% 25.07: 15.9% 24-25.07: 24.1% 24-25.07: 21.5% 24-25.07: 17.3% 28.07-02.08: 21% 29.07-02.08: 16.9% 03-05.08: 17.2% 07-09.08: 17.8% 05-12.08: 22.3% 17-20.08: 16.5% 21-22.08: 18.1% 21-23.08: 20.6% 25-27.08: 19.7% min 15.9% maks 29.9%
Konfederacja 13.1%
31.12-01.01: 10.2% 02-03.01: 12% 02-04.01: 11.2% 12-14.01: 12.8% 16-18.01: 14% 12-19.01: 12.3% 20-21.01: 12.8% 26-28.01: 11.2% 30-31.01: 12.6% 31.01-01.02: 11.2% 02-04.02: 12.6% 09-14.02: 14.4% 13-15.02: 13% 19-20.02: 14% 20-21.02: 13.2% 23-26.02: 13.4% 25-26.02: 11.1% 27-28.02: 13.8% 27.02-01.03: 12.2% 02-04.03: 14.5% 09-09.03: 14.2% 09-11.03: 11.1% 11-12.03: 11.6% 13-15.03: 13.6% 13-15.03: 14.7% 11-16.03: 12.9% 20-23.03: 10.5% 27-28.03: 13.4% 27-29.03: 12.6% 02-03.04: 12% 25.03-04.04: 11.4% 07-09.04: 12.8% 10-12.04: 14.2% 08-13.04: 15% 13-15.04: 13% 17-19.04: 13.2% 21-22.04: 12.4% 24-25.04: 12% 24-26.04: 12.6% 16-27.04: 11.8% 16-27.04: 13.2% 27-30.04: 12.2% 04-06.05: 15.3% 04-06.05: 11.7% 08-10.05: 13.1% 28.04-11.05: 13.1% Pub.: 12.05.2026: 11.7% 12-23.05: 11.8% 22-23.05: 12.6% 22-24.05: 13.5% 28-29.05: 13.3% 29.05-02.06: 13.4% 08-10.06: 12.6% 08-10.06: 12.8% 12-14.06: 12.2% Pub.: 16.06: 12.2% 12-15.06: 11.1% 19-21.06: 13.9% 24-27.06: 13.7% 26-28.06: 10.7% 30.06-01.07: 13.4% 30.06-01.07: 12.8% 02-03.07: 13.3% 06-08.07: 15.2% 06-08.07: 13.4% 10-12.07: 15.7% 16-17.07: 14.3% 16-17.07: 12.3% 16-17.07: 12% Pub.: 21.07: 12.3% Pub.: 21.07: 12.9% 25.07: 14.5% 25.07: 13.5% 24-25.07: 13.8% 24-25.07: 13.4% 24-25.07: 12.3% 28.07-02.08: 8% 29.07-02.08: 14.4% 03-05.08: 15.3% 07-09.08: 10.6% 05-12.08: 15.8% 17-20.08: 13% 21-22.08: 13.2% 21-23.08: 14.1% 25-27.08: 13.1% min 8% maks 15.8%
KKP 8.3%
31.12-01.01: 7.2% 02-03.01: 8.8% 02-04.01: 9.7% 12-14.01: 7.4% 16-18.01: 7.1% 12-19.01: 9.6% 20-21.01: 6.6% 26-28.01: 9.8% 30-31.01: 9% 31.01-01.02: 7.7% 02-04.02: 7.7% 09-14.02: 9% 13-15.02: 9.9% 19-20.02: 7% 20-21.02: 10% 23-26.02: 9.9% 25-26.02: 7.3% 27-28.02: 9.2% 27.02-01.03: 8.4% 02-04.03: 7.2% 09-09.03: 8% 09-11.03: 11% 11-12.03: 7.1% 13-15.03: 8.2% 13-15.03: 8.5% 11-16.03: 9% 20-23.03: 7.7% 27-28.03: 7.5% 27-29.03: 8% 02-03.04: 7% 25.03-04.04: 10% 07-09.04: 6.6% 10-12.04: 8.4% 08-13.04: 8.2% 13-15.04: 8.7% 17-19.04: 8.5% 21-22.04: 6.3% 24-25.04: 7.9% 24-26.04: 6.8% 16-27.04: 9% 16-27.04: 8.3% 27-30.04: 8.2% 04-06.05: 8.1% 04-06.05: 7.8% 08-10.05: 9.1% 28.04-11.05: 11.2% Pub.: 12.05.2026: 5.5% 12-23.05: 9.3% 22-23.05: 8.8% 22-24.05: 8.2% 28-29.05: 7% 29.05-02.06: 8% 08-10.06: 7.5% 08-10.06: 9.4% 12-14.06: 9.6% Pub.: 16.06: 6.7% 12-15.06: 6.7% 19-21.06: 7.7% 24-27.06: 9% 26-28.06: 10.1% 30.06-01.07: 8% 30.06-01.07: 9% 02-03.07: 11% 06-08.07: 8.2% 06-08.07: 8% 10-12.07: 10.2% 16-17.07: 7.3% 16-17.07: 8.7% 16-17.07: 10.9% Pub.: 21.07: 9.6% Pub.: 21.07: 9.6% 25.07: 12% 25.07: 12.3% 24-25.07: 8.6% 24-25.07: 9.1% 24-25.07: 10.9% 28.07-02.08: 6% 29.07-02.08: 9.4% 03-05.08: 9% 07-09.08: 9.6% 05-12.08: 10.5% 17-20.08: 8.2% 21-22.08: 8.8% 21-23.08: 8.4% 25-27.08: 8.3% min 5.5% maks 12.3%
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